Before the season kicked off in August a number of learned regular posters proffered their thoughts and expectations back on Untypical Boro – So before we pass judgement on the evidence brought before us as Boro’s season enters the dock – I’ve briefly disabled the WordPress swear filter and retrospectively swore in a jury of 12 yet-to-be-angry men (or possibly women). These distinguished pillars (other labels are available) of the blog sat round a virtual table to deliberate and give their pre-season verdict under an oath of an unwavering allegiance to the mighty Boro. They stroked their virtual beards and raised their furrowed browsers as they anticipated the trials and tribulations that lay ahead in the return to top-flight football.
So as Boro lie in their self-made death bed, it’s time to hear the truth, the whole (edited) truth and nothing but the truth of what people anticipated back in August. After donning their false beards, mustaches and over-sized hats, our puritanical disguised blog jurors opinions have been labelled 1-12 with their names replaced with a short descriptive phrase. There are some clues in their comments as to who they might be – maybe even some of you can identify them or even spot your own words in some cases. I’ll reveal which poster belongs to which number later in the week. Note, I’ve extracted parts of comments and edited down some for the sake of brevity, since many of us are not adverse to writing the odd lengthy post.
Anyway, some interesting insights mixed in with a bit of humour, apprehension and in some cases perhaps a large lung-full of foam fumes were inhaled prior to writing… So at the risk of looking like an auctioneer in a badly advised wig, doing a less than feeble impression of the Mighty Thor as I wield my small wooden hammer of truth – Order! Order! Silence in the court of public opinion…
Juror 1: Do I not like Watford?
Then, there’s the ‘do a Watford’ theme. [Responding to AV suggesting Boro could try to emulate Watford] Is that the same Watford who sacked their manager halfway through the season when they went all wobbly and then they managed to nurse the sick patient over the winning line before all the lights went out. God, how I wish we do a Watford (not!!!), as the Riverside will be like a morgue after January and even Leo will be looking through the gaps in his fingers as AK spins madly around screaming at the players in the dressing room, telling them how they simply aren’t working hard enough and he’s never going to manage such a bunch of wastlings ever again in all eternity.
Then, a draw becomes the new win. Happy Days!!!!! Bring it on.
Juror 2: Not happy with just surviving
I can’t say I’d be happy with 17th place this season – it would mean we’ve endured a hard slog of a season with very little to cheer about and will probably mean we’ll lose twice as many games as we’ll win.
So happy wouldn’t be the word for me as it would have meant our signings didn’t come off and Karanka wasn’t able to get to grips with the league and questions will be asked if another season could be risked.
I prefer to look at the PL as two or maybe three leagues – The obvious big boys of Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Man Utd and Spurs – plus I’d add Leicester and West Ham on the merit of their previous season.
But that leaves a second league of 12 clubs who if they get it right can finish close to eighth – but if they don’t get their act together consistently then a season around the drop zone awaits them. So for the rest, take away the PL hype and the notion of spending big equates to anything other than it often just wastes cash if the team dynamics are wrong.
Boro have momentum and have bedded in a few new signings in pre-season and have a tried and tested method of playing that everyone buys into – this means to me that I’m looking at 10th spot as proof that everything from Steve Gibson’s financial backing, the new recruitment team, Karanka’s tactics and the team spirit and work ethic are on the money.
Therefore, other than the obvious of just avoiding relegation, I don’t think anyone at the club should be ‘happy’ – perhaps relieved would be the word after the last game if that was our final position.
Happy to avoid relegation is just a cliche to disguise the fact that a club got it wrong – We’ve seen plenty of clubs punch above their financial status with Leicester being the ultimate example.
This season won’t be easy but that’s the challenge everyone should be up for – including the fans. We need a good start and the opening fixtures have give us a chance – after that it’s about keeping focused and working hard.
Prediction: 11th
Juror 3: Under no illusions
I too enjoyed last season and was lucky enough to be able to see every game. It was full of thrills, excitement, anguish, fear and every other emotion imaginable.
I’m under no illusion of what this season will be like. Points will be harder to win, and if we follow the trend of most promoted clubs nearly half of our games will be defeats. Staying up is the priority and if we aren’t embroiled in a relegation fight then it will be a bonus.
I hope all the new season ticket holders realise this, I could never understand why we didn’t sell out week after week last season when there was almost an 80% chance we would win and now people have come back in their thousands for Premier League football and a 50% chance of seeing a defeat and no doubt a couple of pastings.
Juror 4: Hoping to finish above Sunderland
Predicting a season with any degree of confidence is troublesome. There is the best part of a month left of the summer transfer window, another to come in January and, most significant of all, many managerial sackings to come. However, it has never stopped us before so what the heck…
As noted previously, I see the Premier League as consisting of three sections with ourselves in the bottom group along with Bournemouth, Burnley, Crystal Palace, Hull, Sunderland, Swansea, Watford and West Brom. There will be clubs that surprise in both directions but I think we can realistically finish anywhere from 12th down.
There are reasons to be optimistic, though – some regarding our good work, some related to our competitors relative shortcomings. AV was right to say that we are several years behind other clubs in terms of Premier League experience and nous. But in some ways we are ahead.
Take Sunderland for example. They have changed managers once again and have achieved little in terms of recruitment. Moyes will want his own players signed and to have his own ideas imprinted. It will take time.
Boro on the other hand appear to have been working towards this moment for some time. Our style and “philosophy” are established and we have recruited swiftly, in numbers and to a thought-out plan. In those terms, we appear well ahead of Sunderland and start the season with a momentum that left Sunderland with Allardyce. We can have justified hope of finishing above them.
Burnley and Hull, cannot claim to have much more Premier League experience and nous. To me, both appear to have worse squads than the last time they were in this division (no Ings or Trippier for Burnley this time) and, though I’m sure the The Clarets will be combative and competitive, I think we have passed them in the pit lane and will finish above them whilst Hull, as far as I’m concerned, are already relegated and dead last at that.
So, whilst I agree with AV’s assessment that this season is going to be very different to the last couple and we are going to have to get used to losing games again, I feel we are in a better position than 4 or 5 others – I predict 15th.
Juror 5: Heightened level of expectations
For a multitude of reasons I would expect Hull to be a car crash in slow motion so that leaves two others for the drop. Burnley and Boro would be the likely favourites and it appears that Burnley like last time around won’t be splashing serious cash, seemingly content with a Yo Yo existence which if that means the club is kept solvent and run sensibly then who am I to knock it? Just ask Leeds, Pompey or Bolton fans.
There is usually at least one “established” (even if for only a couple of Seasons) Premier club that drops out (Swansea, Palace, Makems, Baggies, who knows?) so on that basis I would guesstimate that either Burnley or Boro will survive but my heart ruling my head means I’m going with Boro of course. That 17th place is not so insurmountable after all, at least in my mind.
Now throw into the mix the arrival of a serious number crunching analyst behind the scenes. Experienced recruiters in place and consequently the arrival of nearly a full team sourced from far and wide who on paper indicate a significant uplift in both experience and hopefully quality and I am expecting more than 17th. The 17th position I reckon is achievable with last years squad so with the newbies on board I’m expecting a more credible and comfortable finish with over 45 points achieved and more likely 48 to 52 points recorded come next May.
I predict my forthcoming “whingeing” potential will be benchmarked by my heightened level of expectations even accepting of the fact that probably two or more of our recruits will be unmitigated duffers. nb. Thats a whole post and I haven’t once mentioned the Kit, Gastric Band or Adidas!
Juror 6: Keeping it short
I’ll keep it short – Boro to get 60 (Sixty) points, I would imagine that should be enough to stave off relegation.
Juror 7: Hoping for a good finish
I would like to add that we were as good as Sunderland, Newcastle etc. already last season. And we have momentum now. And a few additions to the squad – some very good. And a very good manager. So I hope we fare as well as Watford and Bournemouth did last season in the PL.
I think even AK mentioned Bournemouth as an example for Boro in spring. I see Bournemouth were 16th and Watford were 13th last season. So our goal must be somewhere between 14th and 15th in the league.
So my prediction is 14th. I hope we will do better and finish in around 10th. But I will be happy with a survival and hence predict Boro to finish at 14th place.
Juror 8: Living the dream
In my dreams I have us surprising more than a few teams this season, as well as the BBC pundits, and clocking 52 points or more. However, in my more sanguine moments when I do a run through the fixtures I realise that is perhaps not likely.
So, I am hoping for between 45 and 48 points for us this season, which should be enough to see us finish between 10th and 14th. I’ll plump for 13th place (unlucky for some).
Juror 9: Don’t drop like a stone
The vital thing this season is that we do not get relegated. 17th would achieve the same result for us this season that the promotion we were all ecstatically celebrating only a few weeks ago did last season. It’s that important,and would be no mean feat.
Consolidating our finances and our enhanced status, and providing a springboard for further development of both the club and the area are all at stake in securing that safety spot.
Of course, I hope that we do better than 17th. But I would have liked to have seen one more signing of genuine quality to augment the efficiency and organisational qualities that we undoubtedly possess in order to secure it.
Another signing of Ramirez-like quality to add some inspiration to all of that perspiration. I still believe that that is what we need to guarantee the mid-table security we all hope for.
As we know there is always one club that drops like a stone towards the end of the season. We will need to have plenty of points in the bag to ensure that it’s not us.
16th for me then, but, I’m not arguing with Ben Gibson – I’d take 17th now.
Juror 10: It does not get any better
For me, personally this is it, competing in the greatest domestic league in world football, it does not get any better and I am determined to enjoy every match as they come along. I had actually forgotten all about the coup and the Charlton debacle, I am excellent at holding grudges, but all that seems like years ago and immaterial now.
We have had a deep pre-season, cleverly structured friendly matches, each team we have played better than the last in my opinion, generally preparing well. Recruiting, we seem to have made some good prudent choices without breaking the bank while keeping the sprit together. Negredo, for me if we can get the ball to him he could be phenomenal.
If we take our chances, keep errors to a minimum, ride our luck I think a mid 40’s points tally could be achievable. If Bournemouth and Watford could do it then so can we.
Juror 11: A load of old trout
I posted some time ago we were building a squad to compete with the lower part of the table. We haven’t spent squillions though the wage bill would make us wince if we knew it. It may be we have some bargains amongst those signings, we don’t know.
What we do have to remember that summer business is a bit like a trout stream. If you stand and watch a swim you will see a hierarchy in operation. The biggest trout has the best position to take the food being washed down stream, the rest hold station according to their size.
Before relegation we were down the food chain, after it we fed on scraps, we have gradually moved up the pecking order. How quickly you get your squad sorted and with what level of quality depends on the perceived attractiveness of the club.
Last summer we were a top six championship club, the summer before a mid table team, the summer before that a club that had imploded.
Now we are a promoted club, that is all. For now. If things go well we could develop in to a Premier league side. Many come straight back down, many come down second season.
To put our summer in to perspective Bournemouth have spent £37m, Palace £23m, Watford £21m, plus of course loans etc. Others have spent less but they are all teams who stayed up and are building on that experience. They all have scouting systems and access to the same data we have.
Fellow promoted sides Hull and Burnley seem to be preparing for a swift return but you cant be certain how they will get on.
Staying up would be success.
Juror 12: Relegation certs
Prediction: 18th.
Reasons:
1. Lack of attacking threat – some very interesting signings in the summer none of which adequately address our core problem of lack of pace and creativity in attacking areas. Fischer looks no better than Reach to these eyes and once again we’ll be overly reliant on Ramirez to provide a cutting edge, assuming Karanka plays him in the no 10 role which is far from certain. Negredo will struggle, as he did at Valencia, without the kind of service that he took for granted at City and Sevilla.
2. Discipline – Karanka’s main tactic of aggressive defending, tactical fouling and harassing officials will be neutralised by much less tolerant Premier League officials applying tougher new laws. Clayton was booked 14 times in the Championship, unless he adapts quickly he’ll miss more than he plays and De Roon looks even more of a liability on that front. I predict a glut of sendings off undermining our chances in the early crucial fixtures accompanied by a variety of lame excuses from a bemused Karanka.
3. Temperament – largely Karanka’s which will be tested to a much greater degree in the high pressure environment than it was in the Championship (where he almost imploded)
4. No plan B – or, perhaps more accurately, not adapting our Plan A when things don’t go our way. If it was an issue in the Championship, how much more of a problem in the Premier League when things won’t go our way a lot of the time.
I could be wrong. We could be OK – 17th perhaps – or 16th maybe, with a bit of luck, but equally don’t rule out 19th or 20th. No one can be too sure. The only thing I am sure about is that at some point in the next few months,probably as we’re leaking a third at home against the “likes of ” Palace or Bournemouth, we’ll be wishing we were back in the good old Championship with Dimi and Grant and Albert strolling to a two-nil win against Rotherham.
Not scoring goals and losing a lot soon becomes a grind, even if you keep repeating to yourself “It’s the Greatest League in the World, it’s the Greatest League in the World…
Who were the Jury
1.Spartak
2.Werdermouth
3. Never Give Up On Boro
4. Andy R
5.Redcar Red
6. Grovehillwallah
7. Jarkko
8. Powmill-Naemore
9. Len
10. Acklam Exile
11. Ian Gill
12. Anthony McCarthy