Championship 2018-19: Week 23
Tue 1 Jan – 15:00: Derby v Boro
Sat 5 Jan – 15:00: Boro v Peterborough (FA Cup)
As Teesside gets ready to head into another new year, the sound of the Boro recruitment department singing merrily “Should old acquaintance be forgot, and never thought upon” is probably more of a ponderous rhetorical question than an act of celebration. As the promotion Champagne remains firmly on ice in his hotel mini-bar, Tony Pulis will be looking to build on his impressive victory over the bottom-of-the-table stuck-in-third-gear Tractor Boys. Off the pitch, the manager is looking to enhance his promotion squad with the kind of quality signings some supporters can only dream about – by which I suspect for many will be of the recurring kind or indeed the deeply disturbing wake up in a cold sweat type.
Nevertheless, a return to winning ways has at least avoided the Boro chairman of the need to start communicating to the faithful in order to bestow the proverbial vote of confidence on his manger after a rather unconvincing three months. In fact Steve Gibson has been remarkably quiet of late and perhaps may be worried that anything he says will be taken out of context after the word “Smash” was misconstrued by some to mean that the team assembled was going to be the best in the league. The mood at the club is now one of caution and the austerity message from the manager to expectant supporters is that “reality must kick in” – which coincidentally is the same message that many unimpressed supporters were hoping would reach their chairman if the team continued to serve up such sterile performances.
The noises coming from the club with regard to finances seems to indicate they will not be throwing money at their number one objective of achieving promotion. It appears there will be no transfer window splurge as the object of the exercise in January will now be to balance the books instead – though not the kind of book balancing you’d normally find in a finishing school as Boro’s ungainly posture in the market is unlikely to be improved by walking upright with a weighty tome of potential targets on their head. As far as I’m aware, there is little evidence to suggest any of the recent debutants at Boro have ever set foot inside a finishing school of any description – in fact I suspect if they did they may possibly risk being expelled.
Incidentally, finishing schools are no longer the exclusive Swiss destination for social-climbing young ladies needing to brush up on their etiquette in order to impress potential well-to-do husbands. Not at all, modern finishing schools are now even aiming to attract men too – with one such institution at the 15th century Lickleyhead Castle in the Scottish highlands advertising that they aim to teach students how to stand, sit and walk with elegance and poise while honing their skills in public speaking, improving dress sense and making small talk.
It actually sounds like it may be something for our own rough-round-the-edges Tony given his reported problem with sitting elegantly in press conferences – plus I’m sure he could also improve his dress sense by being persuaded to ditch his trademark baseball cap. Though presumably that small talk class will hopefully include tips to young women on how to delicately explain to potential husbands that being a graduate of Lickleyhead is not in fact a euphemism. Nevertheless, the school claim to cover important tasks like ironing shirts, sewing on buttons, self defence and basic first aid. It all sounds very useful but it’s not immediately clear what kind of extreme ironing also requires self defence – not unless of course you ruin your wife’s best party dress by adding a few interesting melted triangular features while watching the footy.
In a final act of irony, perhaps Tony Pulis will one day set up a finishing school in his beloved Swiss Alps where students learn to walk tall and improve their poise while standing around waiting for one of those many famous crosses he so enjoys counting. At least the lone strikers should learn how to be experts in small talk as they pass the time chatting with opposition defenders: “Excuse me, you wouldn’t have happened to have seen any of my team-mates around here lately? They promised to join me in the box but that was half-an-hour ago”. No doubt getting an equally courteous reply from the opposition centre-half “Sorry mate, you’re the only one in a red shirt I’ve seen today – besides I think you have to leave now as your bench is holding your number up”.
Although, there is a sense that Boro have decided to live within their means in recent years and the chairman now in his sixties is not as keen on throwing around his money as he was in his exuberant youth. The total spend in our season in the Premier League was estimated in a post-season Gazette article to be around £100m, which was more or less the same as the prize money awarded – meaning most of our turnover of around £20-30m could be seen as profit. Last season we may have spent big but the net spend on transfers was (depending on exact figures) only £5-8m – plus we had £47m parachute payments and perhaps again around £20-30m in turnover. I suspect all quite a modest spending by current Championship standards.
The summer dealing in 2018, as listed by the website Transfermarkt, show the club received around £43m from sales (Adama £18m, Gibson £15.2m, Bamford £7.1m, Fabio £1.8m and Barragan £0.9m) with purchases coming in at just over £19m (Flint £7.2m, Saville £7m and McNair £5.1m) – which gives a profit on spending of around £24m. Boro also received a parachute payment of £35m and again will probably have a turnover in the £20-30m range – it means essentially the club had a headline income this season of around £100m and have so far spent £19m on transfers. It would be surprising if the loans, wage bill and operating costs were as much as £80m, so it’s a little surprising to hear Pulis say he must now balance spending in January – especially as he claimed just before Christmas: “We’re now £30m in profit… we had to take some tough decisions in respect of the finances off the pitch.”
It’s not immediately apparent why the belt had to be tightened, though it could just be that the club are simply planning on the basis of being in the Championship next season without parachute payments and it may mean only committing to only temporary loan signings. The question may be that selling players like Assombalonga in January might see a larger price realised than in the summer. The problem appears to be that other clubs will prefer to take our players like Gestede or Braithwaite on loan rather than buy them. Overall, it feels like Boro have squandered their parachute payment seasons by acquiring over-valued players who have neither performed to the price tag or retained that value – it may also be that these players and those who have been at the club since the previous promotion are on wages that can’t be sustained in the Championship next season.
Interestingly, if that were the case then it would seem sensible to start building a side around the promising youngsters rather than potentially sidelining them by bringing in loan players who may take quite a while to get up to speed – especially given the lack of pitch time some purported targets have. It appears the club have become cautious both on and off the pitch and are hoping this unadventurous low-risk approach will ultimately see them better the opposition. The bigger risk is that this will not galvanise the supporters and the club will lose momentum as it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy of creating a stable Championship club for the long term.
New Year’s day sees Boro make the trip to the Midlands to face Frank Lampard’s Derby, with a late double at Norwich seeing them edge the Canaries 4-3 and stay level on points with Tony Pulis’s team. Since the reverse fixture at the end of October, which finished 1-1 thanks to that late Jayden Bogle own-goal that cancelled out George Friend’s earlier one, the Rams have not fared particularly well on home soil. A 3-1 victory over Garry Monk’s Birmingham was followed up with a 3-0 defeat at the hands of Villa and then a 2-1 win against Swansea has only seen two subsequent draws against Forest and Bristol. Boro have picked up quite a decent haul of 20 points on the road this season and have only lost at Norwich and QPR. Whether they can keep a clean sheet against Derby may determine if Boro can add to that impressive tally.
Saturday offers a break from the stresses of keeping up the promotion challenge as they enter the third round of the FA Cup with a home tie against Peterborough United. Although, following defeat to Burton in the quarter-final of the Carabao Cup, Boro supporters will not be overly confident of progress to the next round – especially as Posh are similarly placed in 5th place in League One, three points behind Sunderland and seven from the automatic promotion spots. Just like Tuesday’s opponents Derby, Peterborough also scored four in their last game at Accrington but unlike the Rams they kept a clean sheet. We can perhaps console ourselves that they’ve only won three of their last ten games – though they’ve also only lost two of those.
Peterborough are managed by former Rotherham boss Steve Evans, who left the The Millers to become head coach at Leeds, where he lasted just over six months under trigger-happy chairman Massimo Cellino. He then spent 15 months in charge of League Two side Mansfield before taking up the job at Posh. We would normally expect Tony Pulis to utilise his squad for a game against lower-league opposition but much may depend on the outcome against Derby. The Boro manager will not want to lose another home game against League One opposition as his standing with the Riverside faithful is probably at its weakest since he arrived. Perhaps we’ll see both managers making many changes as the name of the game is promotion and the romance of the cup has become more of a swipe left in comparison to making the right moves in the league.